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Course: Developing a Corporate Credit Rationale
Audience: This course is designed for intermediate-level analysts, credit risk managers, and other financial professionals who want to enhance their knowledge of credit risk analysis.
Prerequisite: Basic knowledge of financial and business analysis and accounting.
Pre-course work: To get the maximum benefits from this custom learning program, you will be required to complete pre-course reading from our credit analysis professionals.
CPE Credits: 15.5
Course Objectives:
By the end of this course the participants will be able to:
• Evaluate the various aspects of fundamental credit analysis for a corporate entity
• Explain the market view of credit risk
• Incorporate all of the above in developing a sound credit rationale
Course overview: Course will be a combination of lecture, group and individual exercises; and group discussion. One example case study will be used throughout the course to highlight specific learning points. Standard & Poor’s products will be discussed when appropriate.
Day 1
Session 1: Overview of Credit and the Credit Markets
The opening session discusses the importance of credit analysis. Participants will appreciate the cyclical nature of credit and the impact on the global financial markets. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Discuss who uses credit analysis and why
• Define the types of risk a corporate faces including:
° Issuer, industry, country, daylight, settlement, legal,
reputational, etc.
• Explain the importance of understanding the credit cycle
° Review key credit concepts of default probability,
severity and exposure at default
• Discuss and debate the different credit default models in the market today
° Present data on above key concepts to understand the
impact of credit cycles, historical volatility and where we
are now
Session 2: Credit Evaluation from a Top-Down Approach
Participants will appreciate the need to analyze a company not only for its’ specific financial statements, but put them into context within the larger market. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Recognize the need to develop a macro opinion on the market
° The use of commentary from Standard & Poor’s Chief Economist
° The use of topical commentary from Market, Credit &
Risk Strategies
° External macro data (GDP, Fed Funds Rate, CPI, etc.)
° Influence on cyclicals vs. non-cyclicals
• Demonstrate the importance of industry and competitive analysis
• Discuss the importance of evaluating management
• Explain how the Porter Model and SWOT analysis can assist the analyst
Session 3: Funding a Corporate; the Importance and Limitations of Historical Financial Analysis
Appreciate the various funding vehicles and products available to a corporate issuer and the benefits and limitations of each. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Examine the different types of funding sources and uses a company has
° Banks, Investment banks, hedge funds, private equity – how are they different from and similar to each other
• Describe the different banking and capital market products that are available for a corporate issuer
° Loans vs. bonds
° Lines of credit, letters of credit, and the various types of
long term financing
• Discuss the relative benefits of equity vs. debt funding
° Various theories (pecking order theory, static trade off)
• WACC implications (tax benefits of debt)
• Discuss the importance and difference between the key financial statements
° Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow
differences and interrelationships
° The importance of working capital
° What does EBITDA mean and not mean
• Importance of statement normalization, possible sources of Financial Statement manipulation
° Pensions
° Off-Balance Sheet Financing
° Operating vs. Capital Leases
Session 4: Examine the Importance and Limitations of Ratio Analysis
Participants will demonstrate the pitfalls and merits of ratio analysis. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Explain the importance of key credit ratios
° Liquidity, leverage, profitability, etc.
° Contrast the different ratios for different industries
(financial, utility, telecom, etc.)
Day 2
Session 5: Various Funding Structures
Participants will appreciate different structures and their merits and limitations. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Recognize the different debt structures and pricing in loans and bonds
° Secured vs. unsecured
° Senior debt, subordinated debt
° Structural subordination
° Convertible Bonds
° Bond Insurance
• Discuss the role of covenants and collateral and the impact on loan and bond pricing
Session 6: Equity vs. Debt Markets – a Primer on Valuations
Participants will distinguish between the equity markets and the credit markets as to how to value a firm. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Compare equity valuations vs. internal valuations
° Explore the different valuation methods including DCF,
Market Comps and Multiples
• Examine financial forecasting techniques
° Balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement
° Multi-year forecasts
° Sensitivity analysis
° Trend analysis
° Common size statements
Session 7: Peer and Market View of Credit Risk
Participants will appreciate the different ways that the corporate can be analyzed. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Contrast peers (GICS peers or custom peers) via key credit ratios of peer group, as well as sector averages
• Illustrate the concept of pre-adjusted vs. credit-adjusted financials
• Present anomalies (i.e. a company that has to be deconsolidated from the overall figures)
• Examine market view of credit risk
° Analyze the concept of CDS Spreads and their measures
as delivered by CDS Indices
° Demonstrate the value of S&P CDS Commentary
° Describe the ability to compare CDS based Market
Derived Signal vs. a Fundamental Credit Rating
Session 8: Develop and Defend a Credit Rationale
After thoroughly analyzing the company in the case study, participants will be asked to formulate and defend their analysis. By the end of this session the course participants will be able to:
• Make better business and financial decisions by developing a relative attractiveness score from all of the above
• Discuss how credit analysts form a rationale and what the results may be
• Analyze both qualitative and quantitative factors
If you have any questions about the course, please e-mail: annie_chow@standardandpoors.com or call 212.438.4022.